Out of the Rough: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (2026)

When you think of historic and notable golf courses in the United States, it won’t take you long until you mention Pebble Beach Golf Links.

Once again, the PGA Tour heads to the storied venue for this week’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

Pebble Beach has hosted the U.S. Open six times and the PGA Championship once.

This week also serves as the first-of-eight Signature Events on the PGA Tour schedule. Annually, this event would typically serve as the second Signature Event but due to The Sentry Tournament of Champions being canceled this season, Pebble Beach will take the first slot.

With an elevated purse of $20 million on the line and a whopping $3.6 million to the winner, these Signature Events draw the best out of each and every competitor.

Once again, we will also see a multi-course tournament here this week.

Golfers will play one of each Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill Thursday and Friday before playing the final two rounds at Pebble Beach on the weekend. There is no cut this week.

Prior to the switch to a Signature Event in 2024, Monterey Peninsula was part of a three-course rotation. 

This event is also a Pro-Am seeing amateurs play alongside the professionals for each of the first two days across Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill.

Pebble Beach has been a part of the PGA Tour Schedule since 1937.

The Field

Being a Signature Event we will see a limited field this week.

That field consists of the:

• Top-50 of the FedEx Cup Standings from the 2025 season

• Aon Next 10 (Fall Series standings)

• Leading finisher from the DP World Tour Race to Dubai

• Aon Swing 5 (through the WM Phoenix Open)

• Sponsor exemptions

• FedExCup Fall Points List

The biggest storyline this week is that this event will serve as the first 2026 PGA start for World No. 2 Rory McIlroy who spent the early part of the season playing on the DP World tour.

He’ll also be joined by World No. 4 Tommy Fleetwood who, like Rory, will be making his 2026 PGA Tour debut this week. He too spent the early portion of 2026 playing on the DP World Tour.

Of course, World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler headlines this week’s field. Scheffler’s best finish at this event was sixth, two seasons ago.

Being a Signature Event, all of the World’s best will be in attendance this week.

Justin Rose (No. 3,) Russell Henley (No. 5,) Robert MacIntyre (No. 6,) J.J. Spaun (No, 7,) Xander Schauffele (No. 8) and Ben Griffin (No 9.) round out the list of top ten within the Official World Golf Rankings (OWGR) playing this week.

Of course, the most notable absentee is Justin Thomas (No. 10) who is continuing his rehab from back-surgery.

McIlroy comes in as the defending champion as he topped Shane Lowry by two strokes a season ago.

Other former winners of this event playing this week include Wyndham Clark (2024,) Rose (2023,) Tom Hoge (2022,) Nick Taylor (2020) and Jordan Spieth (2017.)

The Course(s)

We will once again see a multi-course rotation this week between Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill. This will be the last multi-course event of the 2026 PGA Tour regular season however.

Although this event is a pro-am, the two courses used this week offer tough challenges, opposed to the pro-ams we typically see.

Still, the courses will be set up to not kill the amateurs. The greens will roll on the slower side of things and the rough will not be grown out to its limits.

Pebble Beach Golf Links

Pebble Beach is one of the most infamous courses in the world of golf. It is both iconic and picturesque and offers some of the most stunning backdrops the world of golf has to offer.

It plays as a Par-72 at roughly 7,100 yards in length.

Due to the angular hole layouts, Pebble Beach offers the shortest average driving distance of any course on Tour. The average driving distance falls at around 274 yards as the Tour average sits at 306 yards.

This forces golfers to layup off-the-tee and almost completely removes any advantage that long hitters off-the-tee may have.

Pebble Beach also features some of the smallest greens on the entire Tour at an average of 3,500 square feet. They are also laid in Poa grass, which is the same grass used at the South Course.

The small greens add an emphasis on finding the fairways and then on quality approach play.

To go along with all of the challenges these small greens present, Pebble Beach too yields one of the lowest Greens in Regulation Percentages on Tour. This adds an emphasis to Strokes Gained: Around the Green work as well.

Historically speaking, Pebble Beach plays at 0.9 strokes over par. 

Spyglass Hill Golf Course

Unlike most multi-course events where the opposite course is much easier than the main course, Spyglass Hill is no walk-in-the-park.

It features five holes exposed to the coast and outside of that, is a tree-lined venue that protects itself from the elements.

If the winds are to pick up, Spyglass Hill plays more difficult than Pebble Beach.

It plays as a Par-72 at 7,035 yards and features four par-fours that measure under 400 yards. Golfers must take advantage of those holes during their round at Spyglass Hill.

The scoring average at Spyglass Hill is 0.5 strokes over par.

Both courses sit along the coast and if winds become a factor, golfers will have to grind out each-and-every hole.

The Weather

As of the time of writing this, forecasts are calling for a five-percent chance of precipitation Thursday, a 15-percent chance on Friday, a 50-percent chance on Saturday and 60-percent on Sunday. Winds will begin the week at 12 miles-per-hour on Thursday before increasing to 13 miles-per-hour on Friday. From there, the winds will return to 11 miles-per-hour on Saturday and finish the week at 14 miles-per-hour on Sunday. Temperatures are set at 60-degrees for each of Thursday through Saturday before ending the week at 56-degrees on Sunday. We’ve seen weather be a major factor at this venue over the years. It looks like this edition will do the same.

Key Stats

• Strokes Gained: Approach (SG: APP)

• Driving Accuracy Percentage

• Strokes Gained: Around the Green (SG: ATG)

• Proximity to the Hole Less Than 150 Yards / Proximity to the Hole From 100-125 Yards

• Par 4 Average Scoring

• Par 5 Average Scoring

• Birdie or Better Percentage

• Strokes Gained: Putting on Poa (SG: PUTT Poa)

• Greens in Regulation Percentage (GIR%)

• Scrambling

Betting Card

Russell Henley (+3250)

Per my stats based model, my favorite this week is Russell Henley. He’s currently fifth on Tour in SG: APP, ninth in birdie-or-better percentage, 12th in par-five average scoring, 14th in proximity to the hole from less than 150-yards, 15th in par-four average scoring, 18th in GIR%, 33rd in both driving accuracy percentage and scrambling, 79th in SG: PUTT Poa and 96th in SG: ATG. He last played The American Express where he finished eighth. He also played the Sony Open in Hawaii this season, placing 19th. Henley also placed fifth at this event a season ago and 58th in 2024.

Jason Day (+4800)

If you’re one to avoid the most bet on players, you might want to skip past this selection because Day is going to top the charts this week. The course history is the biggest indicator here as Day placed 13th a season ago, sixth in 2024, 24th in 2022, seventh in 2021 and fourth in 2020. Day last played the Farmers Insurance Open where he placed 38th. Prior to that he placed second at The American Express. He’s currently second on Tour in both proximity to the hole from less than 150-yards and proximity to the hole from 100-125 yards, fifth in scrambling, sixth in SG: APP, 12th in par-four average scoring, 14th in GIR%, 16th in birdie-or-better percentage, 31st in SG: ATG, 91st in SG: PUTT Poa, 101st in par-five average scoring and 102nd in driving accuracy percentage. 

Taylor Pendrith (+7500)

Pendrith was great to start the season at the Sony Open in Hawaii where he placed sixth. He went on to miss the cut in back-to-back events at both The American Express and Farmers Insurance Open. However, Pendrith has been good at this golf course and event over the past few seasons. He placed ninth a season ago, seventh in 2023 and 49th in 2021. He is currently 11th on Tour in scrambling, 15th in par-four average scoring, 24th in proximity to the hole from less than 150-yards, 27th in both SG: ATG and proximity to the hole from 100-125 yards, 45th in birdie-or-better percentage, 56th in par-five average scoring, 57th in SG: APP, 65th in GIR%, 94th in SG: PUTT Poa and 149th in driving accuracy percentage. 

Sam Stevens (+9000)

Stevens has been great to start the 2026 PGA Tour season. He’s played each of the first four events, placing 35th last week at the WM Phoenix Open, 30th at the Farmers Insurance Open, sixth at The American Express and 31st at the Sony Open in Hawaii. He is currently 15th on Tour in par-four average scoring, 28th in scrambling, 37th in SG: ATG, 46th in SG: APP, 48th in GIR%, 50th in birdie-or-better percentage, 72nd in both driving accuracy percentage and SG: PUTT Poa, 78th in proximity to the hole from 100-125 yards, 79th in proximity to the hole from less than 150-yards and 119th in par-five average scoring. He placed 17th here a season ago and placed 34th in his start prior in 2023.

J.T. Poston (+10500)

Poston is currently fifth on Tour in GIR%, eighth in proximity to the hole from less than 150-yards, 15th in SG: APP, 22nd in birdie-or-better percentage, 31st in par-five average scoring, 33rd in driving accuracy percentage, 37th in proximity to the hole from 100-150 yards, 52nd in par-four average scoring, 127th in SG: PUTT Poa, 157th in scrambling and 175th in SG: ATG. Poston placed 35th last week at the WM Phoenix Open and 38th at The American Express so far this season. He placed 53rd at this event a season ago and 20th in 2024.

2025 Betting Card

• Collin Morikawa (+1400) - T17th

• Patrick Cantlay (+2000) - T33rd

• Russell Henley (+7000) - T5th

• Cam Davis (+10000) - T5th

2024 Betting Card

• Max Homa (+2000) - T66th

• Collin Morikawa (+2200) - T14th

• Tom Kim (+4500) - T31st

• Russell Henley (+6000) - T58th

• Brendon Todd (+12000) - T58th